The United States

The world has never seen a US presidency the like of Donald Trump’s

The insurgent candidate has become the anti-system president. Eight months into office, Trump still confounds and concerns allies and adversaries alike -- at home and abroad.

But however individual his presidency, does it reflect a moment in US history or a tipping point?

Trump has capitalised brilliantly on the concerns of the disaffected.

Yet his legislative agenda has foundered, as he has failed to capitalise on the Republican dominance of Congress and statehouses.  The turnover of advisors and officials in his administration has reinforced the impression of the dysfunctionality of governance.

Trump's foreign policy has shown more continuity with the Obama administration than his campaign rhetoric would have implied, but its organising principle, a Reagan-era strategy of peace through strength, is inherently risky, especially when dealing with unpredictable areas of the world such as North Korea, and with Russia and China, both acting more assertively on the world stage.

  • Is Trump adjusting to the learning curve of the modern US presidency – or is he re-shaping the office and its modus operandi?
  • Will other branches and levels of government check Trump’s policy ambitions?
  • Is the erosion of the norms that underpin democracy and has caused such institutional duress temporary or permanent?
  • Will Trump’s ‘America First’ agenda fatally undermine current arrangements for global governance, international trade, and security?
  • How should foreign and US businesses calibrate the uptick in political risk stemming from Washington?
  • Are the technological and economic forces at work bigger drivers of change than the divides of race, region and religion?


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