The United States
The world is still not used to the idea of Donald Trump in the White House. But are the opportunities greater than the risks?
Donald Trump’s unanticipated election win caused global shock waves. The new team in Washington has sought to use Republican dominance of Congress and statehouses to reshape the role of government.
The presidency holds great ‘disruptive’ potential and Trump is adept at seizing the centre stage. However, he needs the cooperation of the federal bureaucracy, his Cabinet, and Congress to secure positive achievements and avoid alienating fiscal and national security conservatives anxious about a president whose views in many areas are unpredictable.
Trump’s first months in office have demonstrated some of the problems arising from the clash between the wishes of a political ‘outsider’ in the White House and the constitutional constraints designed to curb presidential powers.
- Will other branches and levels of government check Trump’s policy ambitions?
- Will Trump’s ‘America First’ agenda fatally undermine current arrangements for global governance, international trade, and security?
- Should foreign and US businesses worry about an uptick in political risk stemming from Washington?
- Is Trump adjusting to the learning curve of the modern US presidency – or is he re-shaping the office and its modus operandi?
Andrew W Mellon Professor of American GovernmentUniversity of Oxford
Associate Professor, Director of External AffairsUniversity of Warwick